Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.232994 0.269212 0.309016 0.355985 0.409871 0.469740 0.541287
2024-10-13 0.173635 0.219893 0.275342 0.346611 0.435704 0.543330 0.683163
2024-10-20 0.137301 0.189125 0.256371 0.349800 0.476041 0.640490 0.870814
2024-10-27 0.105772 0.157625 0.230077 0.338303 0.495457 0.714923 1.044272
2024-11-03 0.088414 0.141706 0.221430 0.348717 0.546151 0.839923 1.309337
2024-11-10 0.075349 0.129247 0.215162 0.361073 0.601607 0.981027 1.623244
2024-11-17 0.062522 0.114350 0.202061 0.359929 0.635459 1.094428 1.914111
2024-11-24 0.052198 0.101423 0.189554 0.357060 0.665441 1.205907 2.220525
2024-12-01 0.044227 0.090987 0.179264 0.355862 0.697651 1.325773 2.561077
2024-12-08 0.038092 0.082718 0.171291 0.357238 0.734422 1.459093 2.947583
2024-12-15 0.033770 0.077168 0.167463 0.365810 0.786241 1.628244 3.429279
2024-12-22 0.029212 0.070132 0.159238 0.363717 0.815878 1.758231 3.853703
2024-12-29 0.026130 0.065845 0.156269 0.372818 0.871821 1.952849 4.448946
2025-01-05 0.022473 0.059419 0.147333 0.366945 0.894000 2.080131 4.922118
2025-01-12 0.020100 0.055633 0.143804 0.373046 0.944773 2.278519 5.587507
2025-01-19 0.017196 0.049821 0.134233 0.362619 0.954379 2.384922 6.058582
2025-01-26 0.015798 0.047756 0.133719 0.375039 1.022777 2.640948 6.930543
2025-02-02 0.014623 0.046060 0.133846 0.389205 1.098287 2.926458 7.922518
2025-02-09 0.013020 0.042738 0.128897 0.388590 1.134545 3.119128 8.709295
2025-02-16 0.011561 0.039514 0.123581 0.385917 1.164739 3.301010 9.497957
2025-02-23 0.010343 0.036769 0.119124 0.384909 1.199567 3.501010 10.369070
2025-03-02 0.009350 0.034530 0.115761 0.386589 1.242688 3.730936 11.361920
2025-03-09 0.008661 0.033173 0.114900 0.395981 1.310971 4.043263 12.642773